37,7
Doubtful · window 5 years
19.91 USD
EXPENSIVE
Change these figures and the entry price recalculates instantly.
Each factor scores 0–100 on its own scale; the score is their weighted average.
| Score | Weight → points |
|---|---|
Growth consistency38
| ·20 → 7,70 |
Growth pace70
| ·20 → 14,00 |
No recent stagnation64
| ·15 → 9,61 |
FCF quality31
| ·15 → 4,59 |
Debt75
| ·15 → 11,31 |
Return on invested capital (ROIC)17
| ·15 → 2,56 |
| Weighted base | ·100 → 49,75 |
The factors build the score; the modifiers correct it, within +23 / −28. Same 0–100 bar, 100 is always good.
| Score | Range | Points |
|---|---|---|
Gross margin trend · −1.8 pp accumulated over 4 years32 | ±8 | -2,9 |
Altman Z'' · Z'' = 6.63100 | 0/−15 | 0,0 |
Shareholder returns · dilutes 4.5 % a year0
| +15/−5 | -5,0 |
Impairment · 35 % · worst magnitude: ebitda65
| 0/−12 | -4,1 |
49,8 − 2,9 + 0,0 − 5,0 − 4,1 =37,7 | ||
How the price is built: EPS and FCF are projected five years along the growth path, a target multiple adjusted for quality is applied to them, the result is discounted back to today and a margin of safety is demanded on top.