52,8
Acceptable · window 5 years
49.33 USD
BUY
Change these figures and the entry price recalculates instantly.
Each factor scores 0–100 on its own scale; the score is their weighted average.
| Score | Weight → points |
|---|---|
Growth consistency13
| ·20 → 2,66 |
Growth pace36
| ·20 → 7,13 |
No recent stagnation50
| ·15 → 7,45 |
FCF quality58
| ·15 → 8,72 |
Debt77
| ·15 → 11,48 |
Return on invested capital (ROIC)72
| ·15 → 10,81 |
| Weighted base | ·100 → 48,24 |
The factors build the score; the modifiers correct it, within +23 / −28. Same 0–100 bar, 100 is always good.
| Score | Range | Points |
|---|---|---|
Gross margin trend · −1.1 pp accumulated over 4 years39 | ±8 | -1,8 |
Altman Z'' · Z'' = 6.62100 | 0/−15 | 0,0 |
Shareholder returns · shareholder yield 7.9 %53
| +15/−5 | +7,9 |
Impairment · 13 % · worst magnitude: fcf87
| 0/−12 | -1,6 |
48,2 − 1,8 + 0,0 + 7,9 − 1,6 =52,8 | ||
How the price is built: EPS and FCF are projected five years along the growth path, a target multiple adjusted for quality is applied to them, the result is discounted back to today and a margin of safety is demanded on top.