No target price is issued: the company falls outside the profile this method looks for.
Financial comments1
Impairment of earnings: 54 % of the window, weighted by recency → 6.5 points. It is the only place in the model where a bad year subtracts.
Calculation comments2
An anomalous year is out of the estimators; it still counts in the counters and hard cuts.
More anomalous years than the model can exclude. It no longer annuls the factor: if enough valid years remain it is measured with them, and the irregularity is charged by the Impairment modifier.
Quality factors
Each factor scores 0–100 on its own scale; the score is their weighted average.
Score
Weight → points
Growth consistency34
Earnings · fit to the log-linear line · n/a22 %—
Earnings · hit rate · 0 %16 %0
Earnings · volatility · n/a11 %—
Revenue · fit to the log-linear line · σ_resid = 0.05114 %41
3 anomalous financial years in earnings within the window: this is not one bad year, it is an erratic track record. The factor does not score and its weight is redistributed.
More anomalous years than the model can exclude. It no longer annuls the factor: if enough valid years remain it is measured with them, and the irregularity is charged by the Impairment modifier.
·20 → 0,90
No recent stagnation50
Realized slowdown · 1.00×50 %1
Expected slowdown · -1.07×50 %99
3 anomalous financial years in earnings within the window: this is not one bad year, it is an erratic track record. The factor does not score and its weight is redistributed.
More anomalous years than the model can exclude. It no longer annuls the factor: if enough valid years remain it is measured with them, and the irregularity is charged by the Impairment modifier.
·15 → 7,45
FCF quality—
FCF / net income conversion · n/a100 %—
3 anomalous financial years in earnings within the window: this is not one bad year, it is an erratic track record. The factor does not score and its weight is redistributed.
Positive FCF in 5 of the 5 years in the window.
More anomalous years than the model can exclude. It no longer annuls the factor: if enough valid years remain it is measured with them, and the irregularity is charged by the Impairment modifier.
·15 → —
Debt5
Net debt / EBITDA · 5.53×100 %5
Interest coverage (EBIT / |interest|) = 7.9×.
·15 → 0,81
Return on invested capital (ROIC)—
3 anomalous financial years in earnings or invested capital within the window: this is not one bad year, it is an erratic track record. The factor does not score and its weight is redistributed.
Anomalous financial year(s) in earnings or invested capital (2022, 2023, 2025): out of this component's estimators; they still count in the counters and hard cuts.
Only 2 valid financial year(s) left (minimum 3): Return on invested capital (ROIC) does not score and its weight is redistributed.
More anomalous years than the model can exclude. It no longer annuls the factor: if enough valid years remain it is measured with them, and the irregularity is charged by the Impairment modifier.
An anomalous year is out of the estimators; it still counts in the counters and hard cuts.
·15 → —
Weighted base
·100 → 22,84
Modifiers and penalties
The factors build the score; the modifiers correct it, within +23 / −28. Same 0–100 bar, 100 is always good.
Score
Range
Points
Gross margin trend · +1.5 pp accumulated over 4 years65
